While an exclusive NY1/Marist College poll shows City Council Speaker Christine Quinn is a clear frontrunner in next year’s mayoral race, the most intriguing potential candidate, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly insisted on Monday that he is not considering a run. NY1's Bobby Cuza filed the following report.
Christine Quinn, it seems, is breaking away from the pack. According to the newest NY1/Marist College poll, if the Democratic primary were held today, the City Council speaker would win 32 percent of the vote.
That is 10 points better than she did in the last NY1/Marist poll in September and 20 points ahead of her nearest rival, former City Comptroller Bill Thompson.
They are followed by Public Advocate Bill de Blasio, current Comptroller John Liu, Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer and publisher Tom Allon, with 29 percent undecided.
Republican operatives, meanwhile, are hoping to convince Police Commissioner Ray Kelly to run.
On Monday, Kelly told reporters is unaware of an effort to lay the groundwork for his candidacy.
"I can only say that I have not made any plans to run, and I'm going to continue that position," said the police commissioner.
Mayor Michael Bloomberg stopped short of endorsing the idea on Monday, but did lavish praise on Kelly.
“Ray’s never said to me he wanted to be mayor, but I certainly hope that he continues as police commissioner for the next 617 days. But I’ll also say he’s built a great organization,” said Bloomberg. “We’re all great beneficiaries because of all his work. He’s as hard a working guy as I know.”
Then again, Bloomberg’s endorsement may not be a good thing. About 42 percent of registered voters told NY1 they would be less likely to vote for a Bloomberg-endorsed candidate and just 28 percent said they would be more likely.
Only 18 percent say it would make no difference and 11 percent are unsure.
The mayor’s approval rating, meanwhile, is generally holding steady — 44 percent approve of the his job performance and 55 percent disapprove.
As for the state of the city, 52 percent say things are generally going in the right direction, 42 percent say the wrong direction and 6 percent are unsure. That is dramatically better numbers than the last NY1/Marist College poll in September.
"Right now, people are, you know, sort of okay with him as mayor. These are not overwhelming numbers, they're not horrible numbers. They're somewhere in the middle," says NY1/Marist College pollster Lee Miringoff.
As for the 2013 election, potential candidates still have months to decide whether they will actually run.