5. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Kirsten Gillibrand is doing as Senator? N=800
1. Approve 40%
2. Disapprove 19%
8. Not sure 39%
9. Refuse 2%
6. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? N=800
1. Approve 27%
2. Disapprove 64%
8. Not sure 7%
9. Refuse 1%
8. Do you think Senator Gillibrand deserves to be re-elected in 2018? N=800
1. Yes 43%
2. No 19%
8. Not sure 34%
9. Refuse 3%
10. Would you want to see Senator Gillibrand run for President in 2020? N=800
1. Yes 23%
2. No 47%
8. Not sure 27%
9. Refuse 3%
13. From what you know, do you think the tax proposals made by the Republicans in Congress will... N=800
1. Hurt you, 51%
2. Help you, 16%
3. Or make no difference to you? 23%
8. Not sure 9%
9. Refuse 1%
18. President Trump has been accused of sexual harassment by multiple women. Do you believe these charges to be true? N=800
1. Yes 59%
2. No 23%
8. Not sure 16%
9. Refuse 1%
This telephone poll of a random sample of 800 New York State adult residents, was conducted at OAC by Baruch College Survey Research, Marxe School of Public and International Affairs, Baruch College, CUNY on behalf of NY1 News and Baruch College from November 30 - December10, 2017. The 426 landline telephone interviews and 374 cell phone interviews were conducted with separate samples of New York State residents.
The landline sample was based on a random digit dial (RDD) design which draws numbers from all existing landline telephone exchanges across New York State, giving all phone numbers, listed and unlisted, a proportionate chance of being included. Respondents in the landline sample were selected randomly within the household. This sample was supplemented by an RDD cell phone sample, based on numbers identified as active cell phones throughout the state. Respondents were screened for residence in New York State and were offered the option of being interviewed in Spanish.
The margin of sampling error (MoE) for data from the poll is +/- 3.5% for the full sample of 800 at the 95% confidence level. That is, the chances are about 19 out of 20 that if all households with telephones were surveyed with the same questionnaire, the results of the complete census would not be found to deviate from the poll findings by more than 3.5 percentage points. Error for subgroups is higher. The margin of sampling error (MoE) for the 358 NYC residents is +/- 5.2 points. Sampling is only one source of error. Other sources of error may include question wording, question order and interviewer effects.
"President Trump should resign," New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand said Monday.
Gillibrand this week helped draw renewed attention to Trump's alleged sexual misconduct, as did some of his accusers, who retold their stories.
"This was serial misconduct and perversion," Trump accuser Rachel Cooks said Monday.
Trump has called them all liars. "The events never happened. Never," Trump said to a crowd at a rally.
But most New Yorkers, like Gillibrand, don't believe him.
"These allegations are credible, they are numerous," New York's junior senator said.
According to our exclusive NY1/Baruch College Poll, 59 percent statewide believe the sexual harassment charges, versus just 23 percent who don't. 16 percent are unsure.
"It's clear that most New Yorkers believe, as do most people across the country believe, that the women are telling the truth and that they should be heard," Baruch College Pollster Mickey Blum said.
While Gillibrand is now increasingly cited as a potential presidential candidate, few New Yorkers are cheering her on.
Just 23 percent want to see her run for president, while 47 percent say they don't. But 27 percent are unsure.
Indeed, our poll seemed to find New Yorkers generally unfamiliar with Gillibrand.
While 43 percent say she deserves re-election, 34 percent aren't sure.
Similarly, while she gets 40 percent job approval, almost an equal percentage, 39 percent, have no opinion.
But the poll was conducted before the events of the past week.
"What we see in her numbers is that people still didn't know her very well," Blum said. "I suspect that they know her a lot better now."
As for Trump, it's no surprise in this deep-blue state that he's wildly unpopular. Just 27 percent approve of the job he's doing, versus 64 percent of New Yorkers who disapprove.
As for his tax plan, which could land on his desk early next week, a majority of New Yorkers agree with Gillibrand:
"It will harm every one of us," she said last month at a rally inside City Hall.
51 percent say the tax proposals will hurt them; just 16 percent believe it will help. 23 percent say it'll make no difference.
Majorities in almost every demographic group say they believe the sexual misconduct allegations against Trump. Republicans are an exception: 55 percent of them believe Trump, while just 34 percent believe the women.