Saturday, December 20, 2014

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NY1 Political Director Bob Hardt's daily look Inside City Hall.

NY1 ItCH: A Mixed Early Report Card for de Mayor

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There's a big bag of poll numbers for Mayor de Blasio to chew on this morning – and while it's probably not the snack he was looking for, there are some numbers in there that can keep him politically healthy.
Here are a few points from a ton of numbers produced by the NY1-New York Times-Siena College poll:

• An overall 49 percent rating is the classic "half full" result -- with 31 percent of New Yorkers giving the mayor a thumbs down. But after a very bumpy three months, this is not a bad place for him to be.

• While de Blasio's approval numbers aren't stellar, his empathy rating is. A whopping 70 percent of New Yorkers think he cares about their needs and problems – a figure that Michael Bloomberg never reached in his twelve years as mayor.

• Despite crime being at near record lows, it's still on the minds of a lot of people. After education (25 percent) – which City Hall talks about constantly – keeping the streets safe is the second-most important issue to New Yorkers (20 percent).

• Don't expect to see Gov. Cuomo in New York City a lot during his re-election campaign. His approval number is soaring at 64 percent while his disapproval is only at 20 percent.

• Despite those good numbers for the governor, 66 percent of city residents approved of how the mayor negotiated for universal pre-K with the governor and the legislature.

• Schools are slowly getting better. While only 30 percent of New Yorkers say they're satisfied with the quality of city schools, that's the highest number reached in the 21 years that The New York Times has been polling that question. (On the other hand, it was roughly that figure ten years ago.)

• Messing with horse carriages isn't such a popular idea. While most of the mayor's key initiatives (including municipal ID cards and raising taxes on the wealthy) get the thumbs-up, 59 percent oppose de Blasio's proposal to do away with horse-drawn carriages.

• Most New Yorkers are still making up their minds about the new mayor. Twenty-nine percent "haven't heard enough" to form an opinion about him while 59 percent agree that "the jury is still out on the de Blasio administration.

Tonight, the poll will look at whether New Yorkers think the mayor is treating the city equally, or if he's singling out one borough or one economic group of New Yorkers.
Stay tuned.

Bob Hardt

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