Thursday, December 18, 2014

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NY1 Political Director Bob Hardt's daily look Inside City Hall.

NY1 ItCH: More Numbers In The Mayor's Race As A Debate Goes Decaf

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"Should have done, should have done -- That's my song." – Warren Zevon

On an early Friday morning, there's nothing like listening to Zevon and trying to make sense of the city's odd political scene with the Sept. 10th primary looming less than a month away.

The latest WNBC/Marist/Wall Street Journal poll basically confirms a Quinnipiac poll from earlier this week – with Bill de Blasio and Christine Quinn at the top of the Democratic mayoral pack and Bill Thompson in a close third. While he may technically still be a candidate in the race, it appears that it's going to be too difficult for Anthony Weiner to recover from a spectacular bellyflop while ethics questions – and money problems – may be too much for John Liu to surmount.

Next Wednesday's Democratic mayoral debate – on NY1 – should be interesting because de Blasio could finally become a serious target of his rivals. For much of the debate season, he has lobbed bomb after bomb at Quinn with the other candidates joining in. If de Blasio starts getting the brunt of the attacks, that's the best way to determine if he really is the new king of the hill.

Yesterday's poll also showed that the race for Public Advocate is essentially wide open. Although Letitia James leads the crowded field at 16%, almost half of likely voters are undecided. And I'm not sure if last night's debate will help anyone make up their minds.

While several of our debates this week have been amped up, last night's affair was decidedly decaf – with the Times' Thomas Kaplan aptly describing it as "heavy on biography and at times short on polish."

With so little attention being paid to this citywide race, the contest could come down to get out the vote efforts and campaign literature. Daniel Squadron and James – the candidates who have the most accomplishments in their careers as public servants – hardly dominated the debate while Reshma Saujani gave a surprisingly polished performance.

While NY1's Shark Week (a.k.a. Debate Week) may have ended, the big kahuna is next week – with seven Democrats hitting the stage at Town Hall. Stay tuned!


Bob Hardt

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Connect with the ItCH

• Get an e-mail each day when the ItCH is published by subscribing to our ItCH alert.
• Follow Bob Hardt on Twitter @bobhardt.
• Send your comments to insidecityhall@ny1.com.
 
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