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EW's Owen Gleiberman Offers Oscar Picks

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Entertainment Weekly magazine film critic Owen Gleiberman tells NY1 who he thinks will win and should win at this year's Academy Awards, which take place this Sunday night.

The Academy Awards are this Sunday night. Here are my picks for who I think should win, as well as those who will win.

For best supporting actress, I’d give the award to Sally Field, for her powerful and, I would argue, history-redefining performance as Mary Todd Lincoln. But this award is a lock that can’t be unlocked: It’s going to go to Anne Hathaway in "Les Miserables". And who could argue, really? Her performance of "I Dreamed a Dream" is tragic bliss, a Liza-Minnelli-meets-Karen Carpenter epiphany.

For best supporting actor, I would give the award to Tommy Lee Jones, for the angry, blustery glory of his performance in "Lincoln" as the abolitionist Congressman Thaddeus Stevens. And Jones, I predict, will win.

For Best Actress, in what is probably the most competitive category of the night, I’d give the Oscar to Jennifer Lawrence, for her ferocious and captivating turn in "Silver Linings Playbook", a performance that defines the art of star acting. And I do think that Lawrence will win, though I wouldn’t be shocked if it went to either Jessica Chastain for "Zero Dark Thirty" or Emmanuelle Riva for "Amour".

For Best Actor, Daniel Day Lewis overwhelmingly gets my vote for his extraordinary, transcendant feat of bringing Abraham Lincoln to life as a folksy, Will Rogers-voiced, yet fully complicated human being who nevertheless fulfills all our mythical dreams of who Lincoln was. And Day-Lewis, I predict, will win, making him the first actor in Hollywood history to win three Best Actor prizes.

For Best Director, I would give it to Steven Spielberg, for the understated, almost invisible magic trick of making "Lincoln", in its moods and rhythms, a movie that transports you back in time. I think Spielberg will win, though don’t count out either Ang Lee or David O. Russell.

And finally, my choice for movie of the year is "Lincoln". For a while, it looked like it was the Academy’s choice, too, but the momentum has all shifted over to Ben Affleck’s Iran-meets-Hollywood political drama "Argo". It’s certainly one of the best movies of the year, and there’s no mystery about what it’s being honored for. "Argo" proves, all over again, that a movie that touches a raw political nerve can be great fun.

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